Final
URI 34 · MRMK 7
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineURI to win logged
ours 17%
Our number: URI by 6.4 — URI to win.
Projected score
33–16
URI – MRMK
2026-08-28 · 6:00 PM
Duane Stadium · North Andover, MA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Rhode Island lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
13 ranks apart
Rhode Island Rams #136 rush offense
Merrimack Warriors #149 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
164 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #19 pass offense
Merrimack Warriors #183 pass defense
Run game
even
36 ranks apart
Merrimack Warriors #99 rush offense
Rhode Island Rams #135 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
185 ranks
Merrimack Warriors #233 pass offense
Rhode Island Rams #48 pass defense
Rhode Island Rams
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Merrimack Warriors
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 71 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Rhode Island Rams
WR
Marquis Buchanan
20 rec · 234 yds · 3 TD
#19 WR
LB
Moses Meus
16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#29 LB
DL
Case Mankins
6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#107 DL
DB
Andre DePina-Gray
16 tkl · 2 INT
#206 DB
Merrimack Warriors
DB
Danny Simms
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#27 DB
DB
Bertin Placide
7 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#218 DB
DL
Dwayne Green Jr
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#317 DL
DB
Juice Ricks
4 tkl · 1 INT
#303 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Rhode Island offense vs Merrimack defense+3.2 pts
Merrimack offense vs Rhode Island defense-15.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.