← Matchups

Rhode Island Rams @ Merrimack Warriors

2026-08-28 · kickoff TBD · Duane Stadium · North Andover, MA
Rhode Island -5.5
Projected spread
52.4
Projected total
29–24
Proj score (away–home)
62%
Rhode Island win prob
Series Rhode Island lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2006
Rhode Island Rams
Balanced · 53% run Avg pace
Merrimack Warriors — defense
DEFENSE OFFENSE CB S S CB LB LB LB DE DT DT DE WR WR LT LG C RG RT TE WR QB RB
Merrimack Warriors — offense
Merrimack Warriors
Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 71 rush ypg
Unit strength weaker · avg · stronger

Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense), not individual players — per-player ratings wait on the 2026 rosters. Identity, tempo, dual-threat and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

Power breakdown

TeamDivPowerOffDef (higher = better)Rank
Rhode Island Rams FCS +3.1 +1.8 +1.3 #117
Merrimack Warriors FCS -4.8 -4.9 +0.1 #294
Rhode Island offense vs. Merrimack defense
+1.7 pts
Merrimack offense vs. Rhode Island defense
-6.2 pts

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites). An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone. Player-level matchups, team strengths/weaknesses, and the Vegas-line comparison arrive as those phases land.