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Akron

MAC · 1-1 · power +2.3 · #149
Our numberAKR -3.5 no book has priced this game

Massachusetts

MAC · 2-0 · power -3.1 · #218
Our side
MoneylineAKR to win ours 41%
Projected score 28–25 AKR – MASS
2026-11-18 · kickoff TBD Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Amherst, MA MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Akron lead 4–2 · 6 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 7 ranks apart
Akron Zips #215 rush offense Massachusetts Minutemen #222 run defense
Pass game edge Akron Zips 63 ranks
Akron Zips #201 pass offense Massachusetts Minutemen #264 pass defense
Run game edge Akron Zips 184 ranks
Massachusetts Minutemen #246 rush offense Akron Zips #62 run defense
Pass game edge Akron Zips 135 ranks
Massachusetts Minutemen #257 pass offense Akron Zips #122 pass defense
Akron Zips Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Massachusetts Minutemen Balanced · 51% run Ball-control
Joe Moorhead · 27-47 · defense-minded Joe Harasymiak · 0-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Akron Zips
TE Elijah Alexander 7 rec · 61 yds · 3 TD #9 TE
QB Cibastian Broughton 338 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #17 QB
DL Omari Abor 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #84 DL
RB Sean Patrick 100 rush yds · 6 rec #134 RB
Massachusetts Minutemen
DB Jahmad Harmon 3 tkl · 3 INT #42 DB
QB William Watson III 349 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #19 QB
DB Zeraun Daniel 12 tkl · 1 PD #225 DB
RB Elijah Faulkner 134 rush yds · 2 rec #133 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Akron ZipsMAC +2.3 +1.9 +0.4 #149
Massachusetts MinutemenMAC -3.1 -2.0 -1.1 #218

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Akron offense vs Massachusetts defense+3.0 pts
Massachusetts offense vs Akron defense-2.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 471 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.