BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Merrimack

· 1-2 · power -14.3 · #337
Our numberDEL -31.8 no book has priced this game

Delaware

CUSA · 1-1 · power +7.6 · #95
Final MRMK 7 · DEL 42 ML W Spread L Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineDEL to win logged ours 96%

Our number: DEL by 15.5 — DEL to win.

Projected score 11–43 MRMK – DEL
2026-09-03 · 7:00 PM Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE Early season

The books 4 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book MRMK spreadDEL spread OverUnder MRMK winDEL win MRMK TT overMRMK TT under DEL TT overDEL TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — —
Caesars — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread MRMK 93% bets · 74% money total Under 76% bets · 69% money ML DEL 95% bets · 81% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Merrimack Warriors 127 ranks
Merrimack Warriors #99 rush offense Delaware Blue Hens #226 run defense
Pass game edge Delaware Blue Hens 59 ranks
Merrimack Warriors #233 pass offense Delaware Blue Hens #174 pass defense
Run game edge Merrimack Warriors 52 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #201 rush offense Merrimack Warriors #149 run defense
Pass game edge Delaware Blue Hens 61 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #122 pass offense Merrimack Warriors #183 pass defense
Merrimack Warriors Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 71 rush ypg Delaware Blue Hens Balanced · 44% run Avg pace
Ryan Carty · 7-6 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Merrimack Warriors
DB Danny Simms 22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #27 DB
DB Bertin Placide 7 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT #218 DB
DL Dwayne Green Jr 9 tkl · 1.5 TFL #317 DL
DB Juice Ricks 4 tkl · 1 INT #303 DB
Delaware Blue Hens
LB Colin Gallagher 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #46 LB
WR Da'Wain Lofton 7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD #85 WR
RB Kaderris Roberts 27 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #109 RB
LB Gavin Moul 16 tkl · 0.5 TFL #188 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Merrimack Warriors -14.3 -12.6 -1.8 #337
Delaware Blue HensCUSA +7.6 +6.8 +0.8 #95

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Merrimack offense vs Delaware defense-13.3 pts
Delaware offense vs Merrimack defense+8.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.