← Matchups

Samford

· 0-3 · power -17.0 · #359

Our numberUAB -26.9 ~~no book has priced this game~~

UAB

AAC · 1-1 · power -1.0 · #189

Our side

MoneylineUAB to win ours 95%

Projected score 14–41 SAM – UAB

2026-10-03 · 3:30 PM Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~19 ranks apart~~

Samford Bulldogs #263 rush offense UAB Blazers #244 run defense

Pass game even ~~16 ranks apart~~

Samford Bulldogs #242 pass offense UAB Blazers #258 pass defense

Run game edge UAB Blazers ~~141 ranks~~

UAB Blazers #77 rush offense Samford Bulldogs #218 run defense

Pass game edge UAB Blazers ~~89 ranks~~

UAB Blazers #103 pass offense Samford Bulldogs #192 pass defense

Samford Bulldogs Pass-heavy · 39% run Ball-control UAB Blazers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control

Trent Dilfer · 9-21 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Samford Bulldogs

DB LaShon Young 21 tkl · 1 PD #53 DB

DB Jalen Nelson 25 tkl #101 DB

WR Marquise Henderson 9 rec · 218 yds · 1 TD #92 WR

LB Spencer Conn 23 tkl · 2.5 TFL #90 LB

UAB Blazers

K Jonah Delange 7 FG · 4 XP · 25 pts #6 K

LB Ike Esonwune 15 tkl #67 LB

LB Muaaz Byard 20 tkl · 1.5 TFL #126 LB

DB Jo'Tavion Pierce 11 tkl · 1 PD #244 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Samford Bulldogs	-17.0	-11.6	-5.4	#359
UAB Blazers~~AAC~~	-1.0	+2.0	-3.0	#189

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Samford offense vs UAB defense-8.6 pts

UAB offense vs Samford defense+7.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.