BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Towson

· 0-3 (0-1) · power -11.9 · #317
Our numberNAVY -31.0 no book has priced this game

Navy

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +9.1 · #91
Final TOW 15 · NAVY 42 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineNAVY to win logged ours 96%

Our number: NAVY by 32.4 — NAVY to win.

Projected score 12–43 TOW – NAVY
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PM Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TOW spreadNAVY spread OverUnder TOW winNAVY win TOW TT overTOW TT under NAVY TT overNAVY TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — —
Caesars — — — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread TOW 97% bets · 89% money total Under 59% bets · 67% money ML NAVY 98% bets · 92% money
Series Navy lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2008
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Navy Midshipmen 99 ranks
Towson Tigers #239 rush offense Navy Midshipmen #140 run defense
Pass game edge Towson Tigers 176 ranks
Towson Tigers #51 pass offense Navy Midshipmen #227 pass defense
Run game edge Navy Midshipmen 169 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #14 rush offense Towson Tigers #183 run defense
Pass game edge Navy Midshipmen 124 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #35 pass offense Towson Tigers #159 pass defense
Towson Tigers Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Navy Midshipmen Run-heavy · 80% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 104 rush ypg
Brian Newberry · 26-12 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Towson Tigers
WR Aaron Enterline 16 rec · 214 yds · 3 TD #23 WR
DB Bryan Lodge 14 tkl · 1 PD #263 DB
LB Jaydyn Johnson 24 tkl · 1.0 TFL #165 LB
DB Marquis Cooper 8 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT #280 DB
Navy Midshipmen
DL Aiden Lyczek 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #97 DL
LB MarcAnthony Parker 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #61 LB
DL Griffen Willis 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #203 DL
TE Jordan Collins 2 rec · 68 yds · 1 TD #64 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Towson Tigers -11.9 -7.2 -4.6 #317
Navy MidshipmenAAC +9.1 +4.6 +4.5 #91

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Towson offense vs Navy defense-11.7 pts
Navy offense vs Towson defense+9.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.