← Matchups

Ohio State

B1G · 1-1 · power +34.9 · #2
Our numberOSU -12.9 no book has priced this game

Nebraska

B1G · 2-0 · power +19.7 · #40
Our side
MoneylineOSU to win ours 21%
Projected score 31–18 OSU – NEB
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · Lincoln, NE B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Ohio State lead 10–1 · 11 meetings since 1955
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Ohio State Buckeyes 114 ranks
Ohio State Buckeyes #117 rush offense Nebraska Cornhuskers #231 run defense
Pass game edge Ohio State Buckeyes 79 ranks
Ohio State Buckeyes #7 pass offense Nebraska Cornhuskers #86 pass defense
Run game edge Ohio State Buckeyes 89 ranks
Nebraska Cornhuskers #93 rush offense Ohio State Buckeyes #4 run defense
Pass game edge Ohio State Buckeyes 137 ranks
Nebraska Cornhuskers #146 pass offense Ohio State Buckeyes #9 pass defense
Ohio State Buckeyes Balanced · 52% run Ball-control Nebraska Cornhuskers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Ryan Day · 82-12 Matt Rhule · 58-46

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Jeremiah Smith 16 rec · 315 yds · 3 TD #7 WR
QB Julian Sayin 598 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT #32 QB
RB Bo Jackson 157 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec #73 RB
DB Earl Little Jr. 15 tkl · 1 PD #175 DB
Nebraska Cornhuskers
RB Jamal Rule 210 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #13 RB
WR Jacory Barney Jr. 13 rec · 175 yds · 2 TD #35 WR
WR Kwazi Gilmer 11 rec · 97 yds · 3 TD #60 WR
RB Mekhi Nelson 112 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #49 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Ohio State BuckeyesB1G +34.9 +15.1 +19.7 #2
Nebraska CornhuskersB1G +19.7 +14.2 +5.5 #40

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Ohio State offense vs Nebraska defense+9.7 pts
Nebraska offense vs Ohio State defense-5.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 722 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.