← Matchups

Northwestern

B1G · 1-0 · power +17.0 · #48
Our numberNU -7.4 no book has priced this game

Minnesota

B1G · 1-1 · power +6.8 · #104
Our side
MoneylineNU to win ours 31%
Projected score 27–19 NU – MINN
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Minnesota lead 56–38–5 · 99 meetings since 1892
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 38 ranks apart
Northwestern Wildcats #79 rush offense Minnesota Golden Gophers #117 run defense
Pass game edge Minnesota Golden Gophers 90 ranks
Northwestern Wildcats #170 pass offense Minnesota Golden Gophers #80 pass defense
Run game even 11 ranks apart
Minnesota Golden Gophers #224 rush offense Northwestern Wildcats #213 run defense
Pass game even 21 ranks apart
Minnesota Golden Gophers #129 pass offense Northwestern Wildcats #108 pass defense
Northwestern Wildcats Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Minnesota Golden Gophers Balanced · 44% run Ball-control
David Braun · 19-19 P.J. Fleck · 87-50

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Northwestern Wildcats
DB Braden Turner 7 tkl · 3 PD #97 DB
DB Robert Fitzgerald 14 tkl · 1 PD #113 DB
DB Damon Walters 9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #114 DB
DL Brendan Flakes 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #225 DL
Minnesota Golden Gophers
DL TJ Bush Jr. 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #92 DL
RB Darius Taylor 71 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #139 RB
LB Maverick Baranowski 15 tkl · 1.0 TFL #208 LB
QB Drake Lindsey 543 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT #77 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Northwestern WildcatsB1G +17.0 +3.6 +13.3 #48
Minnesota Golden GophersB1G +6.8 +1.1 +5.6 #104

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Northwestern offense vs Minnesota defense-2.0 pts
Minnesota offense vs Northwestern defense-12.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.