← Matchups

UCLA

B1G · 2-0 · power +19.9 · #39
Our numberMICH -3.9 no book has priced this game

Michigan

B1G · 2-0 · power +22.1 · #24
Our side
MoneylineMICH to win ours 60%
Projected score 21–25 UCLA – MICH
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Michigan lead 8–3 · 11 meetings since 1956
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 19 ranks apart
UCLA Bruins #71 rush offense Michigan Wolverines #90 run defense
Pass game edge Michigan Wolverines 148 ranks
UCLA Bruins #245 pass offense Michigan Wolverines #97 pass defense
Run game edge Michigan Wolverines 218 ranks
Michigan Wolverines #33 rush offense UCLA Bruins #251 run defense
Pass game even 43 ranks apart
Michigan Wolverines #181 pass offense UCLA Bruins #224 pass defense
UCLA Bruins Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg Michigan Wolverines Balanced · 58% run Ball-control
Tim Skipper · 9-13 Sherrone Moore · 17-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UCLA Bruins
RB Wayne Knight 168 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec #7 RB
DB Ta'Shawn James 13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #16 DB
LB Sammy Omosigho 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #26 LB
LB Jalen Woods 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #31 LB
Michigan Wolverines
DL Dom Nichols 10 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #17 DL
DL John Henry Daley 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #45 DL
LB Troy Bowles 21 tkl · 2.0 TFL #74 LB
WR JJ Buchanan 8 rec · 174 yds · 1 TD #81 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UCLA BruinsB1G +19.9 +9.4 +10.5 #39
Michigan WolverinesB1G +22.1 +5.7 +16.4 #24

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UCLA offense vs Michigan defense-7.0 pts
Michigan offense vs UCLA defense-4.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,936 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.