← Matchups

Iowa

B1G · 2-0 · power +24.7 · #19
Our numberIOWA -2.7 no book has priced this game

Washington

B1G · 2-0 · power +21.1 · #31
Our side
MoneylineIOWA to win ours 46%
Projected score 24–21 IOWA – WASH
2026-10-09 · 9:00 PM Husky Stadium · Seattle, WA B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Iowa lead 4–3 · 7 meetings since 1937
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 17 ranks apart
Iowa Hawkeyes #49 rush offense Washington Huskies #32 run defense
Pass game edge Washington Huskies 71 ranks
Iowa Hawkeyes #131 pass offense Washington Huskies #60 pass defense
Run game edge Washington Huskies 57 ranks
Washington Huskies #18 rush offense Iowa Hawkeyes #75 run defense
Pass game even 7 ranks apart
Washington Huskies #29 pass offense Iowa Hawkeyes #22 pass defense
Iowa Hawkeyes Run-heavy · 68% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg Washington Huskies Balanced · 53% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Kirk Ferentz · 98-43 · defense-minded Jedd Fisch · 32-33

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Iowa Hawkeyes
RB Kamari Moulton 240 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec #19 RB
WR Tony Diaz 15 rec · 179 yds · 1 TD #39 WR
K Caden Buhr 5 FG · 5 XP · 20 pts #18 K
LB Cam Buffington 21 tkl · 1.0 TFL #113 LB
Washington Huskies
DB Alex McLaughlin 15 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #1 DB
QB Demond Williams Jr. 517 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT #25 QB
DL Derek Colman-Brusa 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #175 DL
TE Baron Naone 8 rec · 70 yds #60 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Iowa HawkeyesB1G +24.7 +6.9 +17.7 #19
Washington HuskiesB1G +21.1 +7.1 +14.1 #31

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Iowa offense vs Washington defense-7.1 pts
Washington offense vs Iowa defense-10.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,556 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.