← Matchups

UCLA

B1G · 2-0 · power +19.9 · #39

Our numberORE -6.1 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Oregon

B1G · 1-1 · power +26.0 · #15

Our side

MoneylineORE to win ours 69%

Projected score 24–30 UCLA – ORE

2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UCLA lead 40–33 · 73 meetings since 1928

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~10 ranks apart~~

UCLA Bruins #71 rush offense Oregon Ducks #81 run defense

Pass game edge Oregon Ducks ~~196 ranks~~

UCLA Bruins #245 pass offense Oregon Ducks #49 pass defense

Run game edge Oregon Ducks ~~239 ranks~~

Oregon Ducks #12 rush offense UCLA Bruins #251 run defense

Pass game edge Oregon Ducks ~~194 ranks~~

Oregon Ducks #30 pass offense UCLA Bruins #224 pass defense

UCLA Bruins Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg Oregon Ducks Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Tim Skipper · 9-13 Dan Lanning · 48-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

UCLA Bruins

RB Wayne Knight 168 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec #7 RB

DB Ta'Shawn James 13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #16 DB

LB Sammy Omosigho 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #26 LB

LB Jalen Woods 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #31 LB

Oregon Ducks

LB Devon Jackson 12 tkl #38 LB

DL Bear Alexander 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #79 DL

LB Teitum Tuioti 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #62 LB

WR Dakorien Moore 9 rec · 138 yds · 2 TD #68 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
UCLA Bruins~~B1G~~	+19.9	+9.4	+10.5	#39
Oregon Ducks~~B1G~~	+26.0	+17.2	+8.8	#15

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

UCLA offense vs Oregon defense+0.6 pts

Oregon offense vs UCLA defense+6.7 pts

Travel · context onlyAway team travels 732 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.