BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Massachusetts

MAC · 2-0 · power -3.1 · #218
Our numberRUTG -6.5 no book has priced this game

Rutgers

B1G · 0-2 · power +1.6 · #154
Final MASS 37 · RUTG 21 ML L Spread W Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineRUTG to win logged ours 64%

Our number: RUTG by 29.4 — RUTG to win.

RUTG team totalRUTG over 41.5 logged ours 32.3

Our number: RUTG 44.0, from our margin and total split into two scores.

Projected score 26–32 MASS – RUTG
2026-09-03 · 6:00 PM SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book MASS spreadRUTG spread OverUnder MASS winRUTG win MASS TT overMASS TT under RUTG TT overRUTG TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — —
BetMGM — —
ESPN Bet — —
Caesars — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread MASS 88% bets · 87% money total Under 77% bets · 71% money ML RUTG 93% bets · 49% money · money MASS
Series Rutgers lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 1967
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 11 ranks apart
Massachusetts Minutemen #246 rush offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #257 run defense
Pass game even 21 ranks apart
Massachusetts Minutemen #257 pass offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #236 pass defense
Run game edge Rutgers Scarlet Knights 81 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offense Massachusetts Minutemen #222 run defense
Pass game edge Rutgers Scarlet Knights 184 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #80 pass offense Massachusetts Minutemen #264 pass defense
Massachusetts Minutemen Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Rutgers Scarlet Knights Balanced · 50% run Avg pace
Joe Harasymiak · 0-12 Greg Schiano · 31-41 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Massachusetts Minutemen
DB Jahmad Harmon 3 tkl · 3 INT #42 DB
QB William Watson III 349 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #19 QB
DB Zeraun Daniel 12 tkl · 1 PD #225 DB
RB Elijah Faulkner 134 rush yds · 2 rec #133 RB
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
WR KJ Duff 17 rec · 333 yds · 5 TD #1 WR
LB Moses Walker 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #129 LB
RB Antwan Raymond 176 rush yds · 4 rec #112 RB
DB Jesse Ofurie 11 tkl · 1 PD #538 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Massachusetts MinutemenMAC -3.1 -2.0 -1.1 #218
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsB1G +1.6 +3.2 -1.6 #154

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Massachusetts offense vs Rutgers defense-0.4 pts
Rutgers offense vs Massachusetts defense+4.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.