BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Akron

MAC · 1-1 · power +2.3 · #149
Our numberWAKE -15.8 no book has priced this game

Wake Forest

ACC · 2-0 · power +16.4 · #50
Final AKR 16 · WAKE 38 ML W Spread W Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineWAKE to win logged ours 81%

Our number: WAKE by 18.1 — WAKE to win.

AKR team totalAKR over 10.5 logged ours 20.6

Our number: AKR 16.6, from our margin and total split into two scores.

WAKE team totalWAKE under 36.5 logged live now: WAKE under 38.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 36.4

Our number: WAKE 34.8, from our margin and total split into two scores.

Projected score 21–36 AKR – WAKE
2026-09-03 · 7:00 PM Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book AKR spreadWAKE spread OverUnder AKR winWAKE win AKR TT overAKR TT under WAKE TT overWAKE TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet
Caesars — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread AKR 55% bets · 17% money · money WAKE total Over 59% bets · 70% money ML WAKE 96% bets · 91% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons 196 ranks
Akron Zips #215 rush offense Wake Forest Demon Deacons #19 run defense
Pass game edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons 170 ranks
Akron Zips #201 pass offense Wake Forest Demon Deacons #31 pass defense
Run game even 21 ranks apart
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #83 rush offense Akron Zips #62 run defense
Pass game even 17 ranks apart
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #139 pass offense Akron Zips #122 pass defense
Akron Zips Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Wake Forest Demon Deacons Balanced · 53% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Joe Moorhead · 27-47 · defense-minded Jake Dickert · 32-24 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Akron Zips
TE Elijah Alexander 7 rec · 61 yds · 3 TD #9 TE
QB Cibastian Broughton 338 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #17 QB
DL Omari Abor 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #84 DL
RB Sean Patrick 100 rush yds · 6 rec #134 RB
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
QB Gio Lopez 575 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #4 QB
K Connor Calvert 6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts #10 K
WR Carlos Hernandez 11 rec · 253 yds · 1 TD #49 WR
LB Vincent Firenze 20 tkl · 2.0 TFL #49 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Akron ZipsMAC +2.3 +1.9 +0.4 #149
Wake Forest Demon DeaconsACC +16.4 +8.4 +8.0 #50

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Akron offense vs Wake Forest defense-6.1 pts
Wake Forest offense vs Akron defense+8.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.