← Matchups

Oklahoma State

B12 · 1-1 · power +7.3 · #99
Our numberOKST -0.6 no book has priced this game

Tulsa

AAC · 2-0 · power +4.8 · #124
Final OKST 10 · TLSA 24 ML L Spread L Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineOKST to win logged ours 49%

Our number: OKST by 1.7 — OKST to win.

OKST team totalOKST under 35.5 logged ours 25.5

Our number: OKST 26.9, from our margin and total split into two scores.

TLSA team totalTLSA over 21.5 logged live now: TLSA under 21.5 — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 24.8

Our number: TLSA 25.1, from our margin and total split into two scores.

Projected score 26–25 OKST – TLSA
2026-09-05 · 3:45 PM H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book OKST spreadTLSA spread OverUnder OKST winTLSA win OKST TT overOKST TT under TLSA TT overTLSA TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread OKST 64% bets · 66% money total Under 93% bets · 83% money ML OKST 97% bets · 96% money
Series Oklahoma State lead 44–28–5 · 77 meetings since 1914
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane 209 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #257 rush offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane 113 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Run game edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane 64 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense Oklahoma State Cowboys #221 run defense
Pass game edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane 52 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass defense
Oklahoma State Cowboys Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Tulsa Golden Hurricane Balanced · 55% run Up-tempo
Mike Gundy · 86-46 Tre Lamb · 4-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Wyatt Young 13 rec · 205 yds · 1 TD #44 WR
RB Caleb Hawkins 189 rush yds · 1 TD · 8 rec #56 RB
LB Ethan Wesloski 16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #101 LB
QB Drew Mestemaker 558 pass yds · 3 TD · 4 INT #38 QB
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL Thomas Davis 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #9 DL
DL Kyran Duhon 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #95 DL
LB Dax Collins 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #63 LB
LB Chris Thompson Jr. 18 tkl #106 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Oklahoma State CowboysB12 +7.3 +1.5 +5.9 #99
Tulsa Golden HurricaneAAC +4.8 -0.9 +5.8 #124

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Oklahoma State offense vs Tulsa defense-4.3 pts
Tulsa offense vs Oklahoma State defense-6.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.