Our side
MoneylineMISS to win
ours 47%
Projected score
30–27
MISS – VAN
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Ole Miss lead
56–37–2
· 95 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
3 ranks apart
Ole Miss Rebels #53 rush offense
Vanderbilt Commodores #50 run defense
Pass game
edge Ole Miss Rebels
171 ranks
Ole Miss Rebels #23 pass offense
Vanderbilt Commodores #194 pass defense
Run game
edge Vanderbilt Commodores
194 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #4 rush offense
Ole Miss Rebels #198 run defense
Pass game
edge Vanderbilt Commodores
52 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #6 pass offense
Ole Miss Rebels #58 pass defense
Ole Miss Rebels
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Vanderbilt Commodores
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 69 rush ypg
Pete Golding · 2-1
Clark Lea · 26-36 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Ole Miss Rebels
WR
Deuce Alexander
13 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
#24 WR
QB
Trinidad Chambliss
561 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
#13 QB
DB
Jaylon Braxton
11 tkl · 3 PD
#111 DB
RB
Kewan Lacy
148 rush yds · 3 TD · 5 rec
#50 RB
Vanderbilt Commodores
LB
Nick Rinaldi
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#7 LB
DB
CJ Heard
14 tkl · 1 PD
#21 DB
DL
Miles Capers
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#23 DL
DL
Issa Ouattara
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#139 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Ole Miss offense vs Vanderbilt defense+5.6 pts
Vanderbilt offense vs Ole Miss defense+2.5 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.