← Matchups

Texas A&M

SEC · 2-0 · power +31.6 · #5

Our numberTA&M -9.4 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Missouri

SEC · 2-0 · power +20.3 · #36

Our side

MoneylineTA&M to win ours 28%

Projected score 31–22 TA&M – MIZ

2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Texas A&M lead 11–7 · 18 meetings since 1957

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~10 ranks apart~~

Texas A&M Aggies #67 rush offense Missouri Tigers #57 run defense

Pass game even ~~44 ranks apart~~

Texas A&M Aggies #55 pass offense Missouri Tigers #11 pass defense

Run game edge Missouri Tigers ~~148 ranks~~

Missouri Tigers #29 rush offense Texas A&M Aggies #177 run defense

Pass game edge Texas A&M Aggies ~~203 ranks~~

Missouri Tigers #217 pass offense Texas A&M Aggies #14 pass defense

Texas A&M Aggies Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg Missouri Tigers Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace

Mike Elko · 35-16 Eli Drinkwitz · 58-30

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Texas A&M Aggies

DL Marco Jones 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #10 DL

DB Julio Humphrey 2 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #84 DB

WR Isaiah Horton 7 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD #82 WR

DL T.J. Searcy 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #166 DL

Missouri Tigers

WR Donovan Olugbode 14 rec · 237 yds · 3 TD #28 WR

QB Austin Simmons 544 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT #15 QB

WR Cayden Lee 10 rec · 200 yds · 2 TD #78 WR

RB Jamal Roberts 172 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #136 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Texas A&M Aggies~~SEC~~	+31.6	+16.2	+15.4	#5
Missouri Tigers~~SEC~~	+20.3	+8.6	+11.7	#36

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Texas A&M offense vs Missouri defense+4.5 pts

Missouri offense vs Texas A&M defense-6.9 pts

Travel · context onlyAway team travels 618 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.