Our side
MoneylineTA&M to win
ours 92%
Projected score
16–40
ARK – TA&M
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Kyle Field · College Station, TX
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Arkansas lead
42–37–3
· 82 meetings since 1903
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Arkansas Razorbacks
164 ranks
Arkansas Razorbacks #13 rush offense
Texas A&M Aggies #177 run defense
Pass game
edge Texas A&M Aggies
60 ranks
Arkansas Razorbacks #74 pass offense
Texas A&M Aggies #14 pass defense
Run game
edge Texas A&M Aggies
169 ranks
Texas A&M Aggies #67 rush offense
Arkansas Razorbacks #236 run defense
Pass game
edge Texas A&M Aggies
182 ranks
Texas A&M Aggies #55 pass offense
Arkansas Razorbacks #237 pass defense
Arkansas Razorbacks
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 65 rush ypg
Texas A&M Aggies
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Sam Pittman · 32-34 · offense-minded
Mike Elko · 35-16
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Arkansas Razorbacks
DB
Khmori House
8 tkl
#173 DB
WR
Chris Marshall
12 rec · 142 yds
#196 WR
DB
Christian Harrison
9 tkl · 1 INT
#325 DB
DB
Joker Johnson
10 tkl · 1 PD
#465 DB
Texas A&M Aggies
DL
Marco Jones
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#10 DL
DB
Julio Humphrey
2 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#84 DB
WR
Isaiah Horton
7 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD
#82 WR
DL
T.J. Searcy
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#166 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Arkansas offense vs Texas A&M defense-9.6 pts
Texas A&M offense vs Arkansas defense+11.7 pts
Altitude · context only301 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.