Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Missouri
Our number: MIZ by 34.2 — MIZ to win.
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
| Book | UAPB spread | MIZ spread | Over | Under | UAPB win | MIZ win | UAPB TT over | UAPB TT under | MIZ TT over | MIZ TT under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| FanDuel | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| BetMGM | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| ESPN Bet | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| Caesars | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions |
-18.2 | -2.7 | -15.4 | #366 |
| Missouri Tigers |
+20.3 | +8.6 | +11.7 | #36 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.