Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions @ Missouri Tigers
2026-09-03 · 8:00 PM
· Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO
Missouri -21.6
Projected spread
54.8
Projected total
17–38
Proj score (away–home)
88%
Missouri win prob
First recorded meeting between these programs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Missouri Tigers — defense
Missouri Tigers — offense
Missouri Tigers
Eli Drinkwitz · 50-25
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense), not individual players — per-player ratings wait on the 2026 rosters. Identity, tempo, dual-threat and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
Power breakdown
| Team | Div | Power | Off | Def (higher = better) | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | FCS | -9.5 | -4.4 | -5.1 | #347 |
| Missouri Tigers SEC | FBS | +9.7 | +3.4 | +6.3 | #34 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff offense vs. Missouri defense
-10.7 pts
Missouri offense vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff defense
+8.5 pts
Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites). An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone. Player-level matchups, team strengths/weaknesses, and the Vegas-line comparison arrive as those phases land.