● Top projected winners
record starts at kickoff
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
North Dakota State
-18.7 · 84%
over Nevada
James Madison
-18.6 · 84%
over Georgia State
Texas A&M
-18.5 · 84%
over The Citadel
South Florida
-17.5 · 83%
over Kent State
Clemson
-17.0 · 82%
over Charleston Southern
Oregon
-15.0 · 79%
over Nebraska
Buffalo
-13.1 · 76%
over Massachusetts
Houston
-12.5 · 75%
over Oklahoma State
Ohio State B1G
Power +19.1 · #2
Indiana -3.2
26–29
proj total 54.4 · 57%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
Our number
Indiana -3.2 · 54.4
The market
Indiana +0.0 · 48.5
Win prob · ours vs book
57% vs 49%
Ohio State offense vs. Indiana defense-1.7 pts
Indiana offense vs. Ohio State defense-0.9 pts
Arizona State B12
Power +8.3 · #47
Texas Tech -10.9
21–32
proj total 53.4 · 72%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Texas Tech B12
Power +16.8 · #5
Arizona State offense vs. Texas Tech defense-6.1 pts
Texas Tech offense vs. Arizona State defense+2.4 pts
Away team travels 579 mi612 m higher than the visitor's home elevationHome team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Florida State ACC
Power +7.3 · #57
Miami -11.8
21–33
proj total 53.5 · 74%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Miami ACC
Power +16.7 · #6
Florida State offense vs. Miami defense-6.5 pts
Miami offense vs. Florida State defense+2.9 pts
Home team on 6 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Auburn SEC
Power +8.9 · #41
Georgia -8.5
21–29
proj total 50.2 · 68%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Georgia SEC
Power +15.0 · #8
Our number
Georgia -8.5 · 50.2
The market
Georgia -16.5
Win prob · ours vs book
68% vs —
Auburn offense vs. Georgia defense-6.4 pts
Georgia offense vs. Auburn defense-0.3 pts
Away team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Missouri SEC
Power +9.7 · #34
Ole Miss -6.8
26–33
proj total 59.3 · 64%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Ole Miss SEC
Power +14.1 · #10
Missouri offense vs. Ole Miss defense-1.0 pts
Ole Miss offense vs. Missouri defense+3.3 pts
Alabama SEC
Power +12.2 · #18
Tennessee -0.8
32–33
proj total 65.2 · 52%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Tennessee SEC
Power +10.6 · #27
Our number
Tennessee -0.8 · 65.2
The market
Tennessee +1.5
Win prob · ours vs book
52% vs —
Alabama offense vs. Tennessee defense+4.9 pts
Tennessee offense vs. Alabama defense+3.3 pts
Penn State B1G
Power +12.4 · #17
Penn State -0.0
28–28
proj total 55.6 · 50%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Michigan B1G
Power +10.0 · #30
Penn State offense vs. Michigan defense+0.5 pts
Michigan offense vs. Penn State defense-1.9 pts
Home team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Nebraska B1G
Power +4.9 · #84
Oregon -15.0
22–37
proj total 59.8 · 79%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Oregon B1G
Power +17.5 · #4
Nebraska offense vs. Oregon defense-4.9 pts
Oregon offense vs. Nebraska defense+7.7 pts
Away team travels 1,357 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Virginia ACC
Power +9.9 · #31
SMU -4.4
25–30
proj total 55.0 · 59%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
SMU ACC
Power +11.9 · #21
Virginia offense vs. SMU defense-2.0 pts
SMU offense vs. Virginia defense+0.0 pts
Away team travels 1,087 miHome team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Arkansas SEC
Power +6.2 · #65
Vanderbilt -9.4
30–40
proj total 69.9 · 69%
2026-10-17 · time TBD
Vanderbilt SEC
Power +13.2 · #12
Arkansas offense vs. Vanderbilt defense+2.9 pts
Vanderbilt offense vs. Arkansas defense+9.9 pts
Away team travels 411 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 119 games.