● Top projected winners
record starts at kickoff
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
Ole Miss SEC
Power +14.1 · #10
Vanderbilt -1.5
33–35
proj total 68.3 · 53%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Vanderbilt SEC
Power +13.2 · #12
Ole Miss offense vs. Vanderbilt defense+6.1 pts
Vanderbilt offense vs. Ole Miss defense+5.2 pts
Away team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Georgia SEC
Power +15.0 · #8
Georgia -0.4
27–27
proj total 54.1 · 51%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Alabama SEC
Power +12.2 · #18
Our number
Georgia -0.4 · 54.1
The market
Alabama +2.5 · 49.2
Win prob · ours vs book
49% vs 43%
Georgia offense vs. Alabama defense-0.0 pts
Alabama offense vs. Georgia defense-2.9 pts
Iowa B1G
Power +12.5 · #16
Washington -2.7
25–28
proj total 53.1 · 56%
2026-10-09 · 9:00 PM
Washington B1G
Power +12.9 · #13
Iowa offense vs. Washington defense-2.1 pts
Washington offense vs. Iowa defense-1.8 pts
Away team travels 1,556 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
USC B1G
Power +12.6 · #15
Penn State -2.2
29–32
proj total 60.7 · 55%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Penn State B1G
Power +12.4 · #17
Our number
Penn State -2.2 · 60.7
The market
Penn State +0.0
Win prob · ours vs book
55% vs —
USC offense vs. Penn State defense+1.9 pts
Penn State offense vs. USC defense+1.8 pts
Away team travels 2,247 mi300 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
Indiana -12.6
36–24
proj total 59.7 · 75%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Nebraska B1G
Power +4.9 · #84
Indiana offense vs. Nebraska defense+8.9 pts
Nebraska offense vs. Indiana defense-6.2 pts
Away team travels 550 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Texas SEC
Power +11.8 · #22
Oklahoma -0.2
23–24
proj total 46.8 · 50%
2026-10-10 · 3:30 PM · neutral
Oklahoma SEC
Power +12.0 · #20
Our number
Oklahoma -0.2 · 46.8
The market
Oklahoma +6.5 · 48.5
Win prob · ours vs book
50% vs 34%
Texas offense vs. Oklahoma defense-4.0 pts
Oklahoma offense vs. Texas defense-3.8 pts
Texas A&M SEC
Power +13.3 · #11
Texas A&M -1.2
28–27
proj total 55.2 · 53%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Missouri SEC
Power +9.7 · #34
Texas A&M offense vs. Missouri defense+0.9 pts
Missouri offense vs. Texas A&M defense-2.7 pts
Away team travels 618 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Maryland B1G
Power +3.5 · #105
Ohio State -18.0
17–35
proj total 51.3 · 83%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Ohio State B1G
Power +19.1 · #2
Maryland offense vs. Ohio State defense-10.6 pts
Ohio State offense vs. Maryland defense+5.0 pts
Iowa State B12
Power +9.7 · #33
BYU -5.3
24–29
proj total 53.2 · 61%
2026-10-09 · 10:15 PM
BYU B12
Power +12.7 · #14
Iowa State offense vs. BYU defense-3.4 pts
BYU offense vs. Iowa State defense-0.4 pts
Away team travels 944 mi1,145 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Kansas B12
Power +6.1 · #69
Utah -11.9
25–37
proj total 62.7 · 74%
2026-10-10 · time TBD
Utah B12
Power +15.6 · #7
Kansas offense vs. Utah defense-1.9 pts
Utah offense vs. Kansas defense+7.6 pts
Away team travels 888 mi1,136 m higher than the visitor's home elevationHome team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 109 games.