● Top projected winners
record starts at kickoff
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
Ohio State B1G
Power +19.1 · #2
Ohio State -4.1
26–22
proj total 47.7 · 59%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
Iowa B1G
Power +12.5 · #16
Ohio State offense vs. Iowa defense-1.4 pts
Iowa offense vs. Ohio State defense-7.9 pts
Away team travels 460 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Vanderbilt SEC
Power +13.2 · #12
Georgia -4.3
28–32
proj total 60.4 · 59%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
Georgia SEC
Power +15.0 · #8
Vanderbilt offense vs. Georgia defense+0.8 pts
Georgia offense vs. Vanderbilt defense+2.6 pts
Miami ACC
Power +16.7 · #6
Miami -5.3
28–23
proj total 50.5 · 61%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
Clemson ACC
Power +9.0 · #40
Our number
Miami -5.3 · 50.5
The market
Clemson +6.8
Win prob · ours vs book
39% vs —
Miami offense vs. Clemson defense+0.6 pts
Clemson offense vs. Miami defense-7.1 pts
Away team travels 622 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Washington B1G
Power +12.9 · #13
USC -2.1
30–32
proj total 61.4 · 55%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
USC B1G
Power +12.6 · #15
Washington offense vs. USC defense+2.3 pts
USC offense vs. Washington defense+2.1 pts
Away team travels 965 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
Indiana -12.4
38–26
proj total 64.4 · 75%
2026-10-03 · 8:00 PM
Rutgers B1G
Power +5.1 · #79
Indiana offense vs. Rutgers defense+11.1 pts
Rutgers offense vs. Indiana defense-3.7 pts
Away team travels 646 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
BYU B12
Power +12.7 · #14
BYU -0.4
29–28
proj total 57.4 · 51%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
TCU B12
Power +9.9 · #32
BYU offense vs. TCU defense+1.6 pts
TCU offense vs. BYU defense-1.2 pts
Away team travels 948 mi1,230 m lower than the visitor's home elevationAway team on 7 more days rest
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Texas Tech B12
Power +16.8 · #5
Texas Tech -11.1
34–23
proj total 56.4 · 73%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
Colorado B12
Power +3.3 · #114
Texas Tech offense vs. Colorado defense+6.5 pts
Colorado offense vs. Texas Tech defense-7.1 pts
Away team travels 482 mi662 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Auburn SEC
Power +8.9 · #41
Tennessee -4.0
29–33
proj total 61.4 · 59%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
Tennessee SEC
Power +10.6 · #27
Auburn offense vs. Tennessee defense+1.4 pts
Tennessee offense vs. Auburn defense+3.0 pts
Arkansas SEC
Power +6.2 · #65
Texas A&M -9.5
28–37
proj total 64.9 · 70%
2026-10-03 · time TBD
Texas A&M SEC
Power +13.3 · #11
Arkansas offense vs. Texas A&M defense+0.4 pts
Texas A&M offense vs. Arkansas defense+7.5 pts
301 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Penn State B1G
Power +12.4 · #17
Penn State -3.8
28–24
proj total 51.5 · 58%
2026-10-02 · 8:00 PM
Northwestern B1G
Power +6.2 · #64
Penn State offense vs. Northwestern defense+0.4 pts
Northwestern offense vs. Penn State defense-5.9 pts
Away team travels 516 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 114 games.