● Top projected winners
record starts at kickoff
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
Texas Tech
-26.2 · 92%
over Sam Houston
North Texas
-23.4 · 90%
over Houston Christian
Pittsburgh
-19.4 · 85%
over Bucknell
Miami
-18.3 · 84%
over Central Michigan
Sacramento State
-17.9 · 83%
over Massachusetts
Indiana
-16.1 · 81%
over Northwestern
Ohio
-14.9 · 79%
over Stonehill
Rutgers
-13.7 · 77%
over Howard
Oregon B1G
Power +17.5 · #4
Oregon -2.5
33–30
proj total 62.9 · 55%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
USC B1G
Power +12.6 · #15
Our number
Oregon -2.5 · 62.9
The market
USC +5.5
Win prob · ours vs book
45% vs —
Oregon offense vs. USC defense+5.4 pts
USC offense vs. Oregon defense+0.5 pts
Away team travels 740 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Illinois B1G
Power +10.3 · #29
Ohio State -11.2
20–32
proj total 52.0 · 73%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
Ohio State B1G
Power +19.1 · #2
Illinois offense vs. Ohio State defense-6.9 pts
Ohio State offense vs. Illinois defense+1.9 pts
Oklahoma SEC
Power +12.0 · #20
Georgia -5.4
21–27
proj total 47.8 · 61%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
Georgia SEC
Power +15.0 · #8
Our number
Georgia -5.4 · 47.8
The market
Georgia -10.0
Win prob · ours vs book
61% vs —
Oklahoma offense vs. Georgia defense-6.1 pts
Georgia offense vs. Oklahoma defense-3.1 pts
Away team travels 804 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Northwestern B1G
Power +6.2 · #64
Indiana -16.1
19–35
proj total 53.6 · 81%
2026-09-25 · 8:00 PM
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
Northwestern offense vs. Indiana defense-8.6 pts
Indiana offense vs. Northwestern defense+5.2 pts
Utah B12
Power +15.6 · #7
Utah -3.4
31–27
proj total 58.2 · 57%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
Iowa State B12
Power +9.7 · #33
Utah offense vs. Iowa State defense+3.5 pts
Iowa State offense vs. Utah defense-2.3 pts
Away team travels 946 mi1,141 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Iowa B1G
Power +12.5 · #16
Iowa -0.1
26–25
proj total 51.0 · 50%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
Michigan B1G
Power +10.0 · #30
Iowa offense vs. Michigan defense-1.7 pts
Michigan offense vs. Iowa defense-4.3 pts
Away team travels 403 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Texas SEC
Power +11.8 · #22
Tennessee -1.2
32–33
proj total 64.3 · 53%
2026-09-26 · 12:00 PM
Tennessee SEC
Power +10.6 · #27
Our number
Tennessee -1.2 · 64.3
The market
Tennessee +6.5
Win prob · ours vs book
53% vs —
Texas offense vs. Tennessee defense+4.3 pts
Tennessee offense vs. Texas defense+3.1 pts
Away team travels 889 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Texas A&M SEC
Power +13.3 · #11
Texas A&M -1.9
27–26
proj total 52.8 · 54%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
LSU SEC
Power +9.0 · #38
Our number
Texas A&M -1.9 · 52.8
The market
LSU -3.0
Win prob · ours vs book
46% vs —
Texas A&M offense vs. LSU defense+0.1 pts
LSU offense vs. Texas A&M defense-4.2 pts
Vanderbilt SEC
Power +13.2 · #12
Vanderbilt -1.9
30–28
proj total 58.9 · 54%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
Auburn SEC
Power +8.9 · #41
Vanderbilt offense vs. Auburn defense+3.1 pts
Auburn offense vs. Vanderbilt defense-1.2 pts
Ole Miss SEC
Power +14.1 · #10
Ole Miss -5.0
32–26
proj total 58.0 · 61%
2026-09-26 · time TBD
Florida SEC
Power +6.7 · #62
Ole Miss offense vs. Florida defense+4.2 pts
Florida offense vs. Ole Miss defense-3.2 pts
Away team travels 532 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 123 games.