● Top projected winners
record starts at kickoff
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
Auburn
-22.3 · 88%
over Samford
North Dakota State
-19.4 · 85%
over Northern Illinois
Alabama
-18.9 · 85%
over Chattanooga
Ole Miss
-17.2 · 82%
over Wofford
Miami
-16.7 · 81%
over Virginia Tech
Arizona State
-12.6 · 75%
over Oklahoma State
Toledo
-12.3 · 74%
over Bowling Green
Ohio State
-11.8 · 74%
over Nebraska
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
Indiana -4.6
32–28
proj total 59.8 · 60%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Washington B1G
Power +12.9 · #13
Indiana offense vs. Washington defense+4.9 pts
Washington offense vs. Indiana defense-2.1 pts
Away team travels 1,869 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Utah B12
Power +15.6 · #7
Utah -3.3
33–30
proj total 62.3 · 57%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
TCU B12
Power +9.9 · #32
Utah offense vs. TCU defense+5.5 pts
TCU offense vs. Utah defense-0.2 pts
Away team travels 974 mi1,226 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Texas A&M SEC
Power +13.3 · #11
Oklahoma -1.1
25–26
proj total 51.5 · 52%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Oklahoma SEC
Power +12.0 · #20
Texas A&M offense vs. Oklahoma defense-2.1 pts
Oklahoma offense vs. Texas A&M defense-3.4 pts
Ohio State B1G
Power +19.1 · #2
Ohio State -11.8
32–21
proj total 52.9 · 74%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Nebraska B1G
Power +4.9 · #84
Ohio State offense vs. Nebraska defense+5.0 pts
Nebraska offense vs. Ohio State defense-9.1 pts
Away team travels 722 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Iowa B1G
Power +12.5 · #16
Illinois -0.1
26–26
proj total 52.1 · 50%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Illinois B1G
Power +10.3 · #29
Iowa offense vs. Illinois defense-1.3 pts
Illinois offense vs. Iowa defense-3.6 pts
Georgia SEC
Power +15.0 · #8
Georgia -5.2
28–22
proj total 49.8 · 61%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
South Carolina SEC
Power +7.5 · #55
Georgia offense vs. South Carolina defense+0.2 pts
South Carolina offense vs. Georgia defense-7.4 pts
Texas Tech B12
Power +16.8 · #5
Texas Tech -9.4
37–27
proj total 63.8 · 69%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Baylor B12
Power +5.0 · #82
Texas Tech offense vs. Baylor defense+9.3 pts
Baylor offense vs. Texas Tech defense-2.5 pts
855 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Oregon B1G
Power +17.5 · #4
Oregon -11.5
36–24
proj total 59.6 · 73%
2026-11-20 · 8:00 PM
Michigan State B1G
Power +3.6 · #101
Oregon offense vs. Michigan State defense+8.2 pts
Michigan State offense vs. Oregon defense-5.7 pts
Away team travels 1,922 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Vanderbilt SEC
Power +13.2 · #12
Vanderbilt -4.1
31–27
proj total 58.8 · 59%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Florida SEC
Power +6.7 · #62
Vanderbilt offense vs. Florida defense+4.1 pts
Florida offense vs. Vanderbilt defense-2.4 pts
Away team travels 518 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Arizona B12
Power +10.6 · #26
Kansas State -0.8
28–29
proj total 57.7 · 52%
2026-11-21 · time TBD
Kansas State B12
Power +9.0 · #39
Arizona offense vs. Kansas State defense+1.2 pts
Kansas State offense vs. Arizona defense-0.4 pts
Away team travels 937 mi413 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 131 games.