● Top projected winners
record starts at kickoff
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
Toledo
-23.2 · 89%
over Massachusetts
Notre Dame
-19.6 · 85%
over Boston College
Texas Tech
-16.3 · 81%
over Oklahoma State
Ohio State
-15.3 · 79%
over Northwestern
Washington State
-13.3 · 76%
over Colorado State
East Carolina
-13.0 · 76%
over Charlotte
Iowa
-12.8 · 75%
over Purdue
Boise State
-11.9 · 74%
over Oregon State
USC B1G
Power +12.6 · #15
Indiana -9.7
26–36
proj total 62.8 · 70%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
USC offense vs. Indiana defense-0.8 pts
Indiana offense vs. USC defense+6.5 pts
Away team travels 1,788 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Michigan B1G
Power +10.0 · #30
Oregon -9.9
24–34
proj total 57.8 · 70%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Oregon B1G
Power +17.5 · #4
Michigan offense vs. Oregon defense-3.4 pts
Oregon offense vs. Michigan defense+4.2 pts
Away team travels 1,967 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Utah B12
Power +15.6 · #7
Utah -2.6
31–28
proj total 59.1 · 55%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Arizona B12
Power +10.6 · #26
Utah offense vs. Arizona defense+3.5 pts
Arizona offense vs. Utah defense-1.4 pts
Away team travels 592 mi670 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Ole Miss SEC
Power +14.1 · #10
Oklahoma -0.3
28–28
proj total 55.6 · 51%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Oklahoma SEC
Power +12.0 · #20
Ole Miss offense vs. Oklahoma defense+0.4 pts
Oklahoma offense vs. Ole Miss defense-1.7 pts
Away team travels 452 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Alabama SEC
Power +12.2 · #18
Vanderbilt -3.4
30–33
proj total 62.7 · 57%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Vanderbilt SEC
Power +13.2 · #12
Alabama offense vs. Vanderbilt defense+2.4 pts
Vanderbilt offense vs. Alabama defense+3.4 pts
Northwestern B1G
Power +6.2 · #64
Ohio State -15.3
16–31
proj total 46.8 · 79%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Ohio State B1G
Power +19.1 · #2
Northwestern offense vs. Ohio State defense-11.5 pts
Ohio State offense vs. Northwestern defense+1.3 pts
Duke ACC
Power +8.5 · #45
Miami -10.6
25–35
proj total 60.0 · 72%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Miami ACC
Power +16.7 · #6
Duke offense vs. Miami defense-2.6 pts
Miami offense vs. Duke defense+5.6 pts
Away team travels 698 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Missouri SEC
Power +9.7 · #34
Georgia -7.7
22–30
proj total 51.5 · 66%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Georgia SEC
Power +15.0 · #8
Missouri offense vs. Georgia defense-5.4 pts
Georgia offense vs. Missouri defense-0.1 pts
Away team travels 605 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Tennessee SEC
Power +10.6 · #27
Texas A&M -5.1
31–36
proj total 66.6 · 61%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
Texas A&M SEC
Power +13.3 · #11
Tennessee offense vs. Texas A&M defense+3.5 pts
Texas A&M offense vs. Tennessee defense+6.2 pts
Away team travels 806 mi
situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Texas SEC
Power +11.8 · #22
Texas -0.4
26–25
proj total 50.6 · 51%
2026-11-14 · time TBD
LSU SEC
Power +9.0 · #38
Texas offense vs. LSU defense-1.8 pts
LSU offense vs. Texas defense-4.6 pts
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 129 games.